MLB / mlb / live
SEA 4 / MIN 11SEASeattle Mariners56%
MINMinnesota Twins44%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLuis Castillo
Model pickSEA moneyline56%Model 20260414_1
MINHome starterConnor Prielipp
SEA56%ML -135
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
MIN44%ML +114
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-135 / +114SEA / MIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-142)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
31 books29 ML23 run line21 total