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CIN 9 / MIL 13
CINCincinnati Reds42%
MILMilwaukee Brewers58%

at American Family Field

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
CINAway starterBrady SingerConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline58%Model 20260907_auto
MILHome starterShane DrohanConfirmed
CIN42%ML +175
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
MIL58%ML -210

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#1
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-timeN/A

MIL at 92-56 with 7.6 RPG and .972 OPS is far ahead of CIN (69-78, 4.1 RPG, .629 OPS), and Singer's 5.03 ERA/1.47 WHIP does little to close that gap. Model's 61.1% looks conservative, but the home starter is TBD/fallback and there is no market context, so I cap this at standard. No market total, so no total view.

pitcher data fallbackmarket data missing

Projection Context

Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Brady SingerCIN starter / away
Projected K4.9Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -102 fanduel / U -119 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.554%over
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.

Shane DrohanMIL starter / home
Projected K6.2Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -115 betonlineag / U +105 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 5.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.585%over
O 4.572%under
O 5.557%under
O 6.542%under
O 7.529%under
O 8.518%under
O 9.511%under
O 10.56%under
O 11.53%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+175 / -210CIN / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-102)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -122 / U +100
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total