MLB / mlb / live
TEX 3 / MIL 5TEXTexas Rangers46%
MILMilwaukee Brewers54%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterCal QuantrillConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline54%Model 20260824_auto
MILHome starterShane DrohanConfirmed
TEX46%ML +143
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
MIL54%ML -168
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Cal QuantrillTEX starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 8 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -135 bovada / U +120 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 3.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%over
O 4.533%over
O 5.519%over
O 6.510%over
O 7.54%over
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Shane DrohanMIL starter / home
Projected K5.7Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -105 betmgm / U -113 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 5.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.581%over
O 4.566%over
O 5.550%over
O 6.535%under
O 7.523%under
O 8.513%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+143 / -168TEX / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -112 / U -108
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total