MLB / mlb / live
ATL 1 / MIL 2ATLAtlanta Braves44%
MILMilwaukee Brewers56%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterChris SaleConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline56%Model 20260817_auto
MILHome starterJacob MisiorowskiConfirmed
ATL44%ML +120
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
MIL56%ML -142
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.1
Market total6.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Chris SaleATL starter / away
Projected K6.9Actual 6 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O -114 betonlineag / U -109 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 7.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.596%over
O 3.590%over
O 4.580%over
O 5.567%over
O 6.553%under
O 7.539%under
O 8.527%under
O 9.517%under
O 10.510%under
O 11.56%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Jacob MisiorowskiMIL starter / home
Projected K9.3Actual 6 K / Under 9.5
Best price at 9.59.5O +120 betmgm / U -142 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 9.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.5100%over
O 2.599%over
O 3.598%over
O 4.594%over
O 5.589%over
O 6.580%under
O 7.570%under
O 8.558%under
O 9.545%under
O 10.534%under
O 11.524%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+120 / -142ATL / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context6.0O -106 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total