MLB / mlb / live
SEA 4 / MIL 7SEASeattle Mariners48%
MILMilwaukee Brewers52%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterGeorge KirbyConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline52%Model 20260817_auto
MILHome starterRobert GasserConfirmed
SEA48%ML +122
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
MIL52%ML -144
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.7
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
George KirbySEA starter / away
Projected K5.0Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -130 fanatics / U +124 fanduel4 books at this line
Model over 4.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%under
O 4.555%under
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Robert GasserMIL starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +128 fanduel / U -145 bovada4 books at this line
Model over 5.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.558%under
O 5.541%under
O 6.527%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+122 / -144SEA / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total