MLB / mlb / live
CHC 4 / MIL 3CHCChicago Cubs47%
MILMilwaukee Brewers53%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterRyan RolisonConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline53%Model 20260622_auto
MILHome starterBrandon WoodruffConfirmed
CHC47%ML +138
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability60%Selected moneyline pick
MIL53%ML -164
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.4
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan RolisonCHC starter / away
Projected K2.1Actual 2 K
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.561%over
O 2.534%under
O 3.516%under
O 4.56%under
O 5.52%under
O 6.51%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Brandon WoodruffMIL starter / home
Projected K5.0Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -134 betrivers / U +122 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%over
O 4.556%over
O 5.539%over
O 6.525%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+138 / -164CHC / MIL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+129)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total