MLB / mlb / live
LAD 11 / MIL 3LADLos Angeles Dodgers46%
MILMilwaukee Brewers54%
at American Family Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterRoki Sasaki
Model pickMIL moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
MILHome starterRobert Gasser
LAD46%ML -120
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
MIL54%ML +100
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#5
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time6.0 pts
Model likes MIL 53.6% vs market's 47.6% for LAD. LAD's 5.2 RPG offense is stronger than MIL's 4.7 RPG. Both pitchers lack season stats (IP/ERA/K9 all null), making this a structural data gap. Market price appears reasonable given offensive comparison. Lean LAD on team quality.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-120 / +100LAD / MIL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total