MLB / mlb / live
LAD 4 / MIA 6LADLos Angeles Dodgers52%
MIAMiami Marlins48%
at loanDepot park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterEmmet SheehanConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline52%Model 20260907_auto
MIAHome starterEury PérezConfirmed
LAD52%ML -137
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
MIA48%ML +115
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Emmet SheehanLAD starter / away
Projected K5.0Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +122 draftkings / U -118 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 5.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%over
O 4.556%over
O 5.539%under
O 6.525%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Eury PérezMIA starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +128 betonlineag / U -136 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.559%over
O 5.542%under
O 6.527%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-137 / +115LAD / MIA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-146)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -103 / U -117
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total