MLB / mlb / live
LAD 3 / MIA 4LADLos Angeles Dodgers52%
MIAMiami Marlins48%
at loanDepot park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterTyler GlasnowConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline52%Model 20260907_auto
MIAHome starterTyler PhillipsConfirmed
LAD52%ML -170
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
MIA48%ML +140
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.7
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tyler GlasnowLAD starter / away
Projected K5.6Actual 7 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +128 fanduel / U -154 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 7.521%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.565%over
O 5.548%over
O 6.533%over
O 7.521%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Tyler PhillipsMIA starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -132 draftkings / U +118 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 3.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%over
O 3.556%under
O 4.537%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-170 / +140LAD / MIA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total