MLB / mlb / live
LAA 0 / MIA 7LAALos Angeles Angels47%
MIAMiami Marlins53%
at loanDepot park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterWalbert UreñaConfirmed
Model pickMIA moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
MIAHome starterSandy AlcantaraConfirmed
LAA47%ML +133
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
MIA53%ML -157
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Walbert UrenaLAA starter / away
Projected K5.2Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +134 fanduel / U -164 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 5.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%under
O 3.574%under
O 4.558%under
O 5.541%under
O 6.527%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Sandy AlcantaraMIA starter / home
Projected K5.8Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +100 bovada / U -115 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.581%over
O 4.567%over
O 5.551%over
O 6.536%over
O 7.523%over
O 8.514%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+133 / -157LAA / MIA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+138)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +102 / U -125
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total