MLB / mlb / live
LAA 3 / MIA 12LAALos Angeles Angels47%
MIAMiami Marlins53%
at loanDepot park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
Model pickMIA moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
MIAHome starterRyan GustoConfirmed
LAA47%ML +125
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
MIA53%ML -148
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Grayson RodriguezLAA starter / away
Projected K4.0Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +130 betonlineag / U -150 fanatics4 books at this line
Model over 5.522%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%over
O 3.556%over
O 4.537%over
O 5.522%over
O 6.512%over
O 7.56%over
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Ryan GustoMIA starter / home
Projected K3.9Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -122 betonlineag / U +105 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 4.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.555%over
O 4.536%under
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+125 / -148LAA / MIA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -106 / U -115
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total