MLB / mlb / live
SEA 5 / MIA 6SEASeattle Mariners44%
MIAMiami Marlins56%
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Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterBryan WooConfirmed
Model pickMIA moneyline56%Model 20260706_auto
MIAHome starterMax MeyerConfirmed
SEA44%ML +105
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
MIA56%ML -125
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Bryan WooSEA starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 draftkings / U -145 fanatics6 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.574%over
O 4.557%over
O 5.540%under
O 6.526%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Max MeyerMIA starter / home
Projected K6.2Actual 4 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +116 fanduel / U -130 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 6.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.585%over
O 4.572%under
O 5.557%under
O 6.542%under
O 7.529%under
O 8.518%under
O 9.511%under
O 10.56%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+105 / -125SEA / MIA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total