MLB / mlb / live
MIL 5 / MIA 2MILMilwaukee Brewers42%
MIAMiami Marlins58%
at loanDepot park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterBrandon Woodruff
Model pickMIA moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
MIAHome starterSandy Alcantara
MIL42%ML -106
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
MIA58%ML -112
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#8
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time6.6 pts
Brandon Woodruff shows null season ERA/IP/K9/WHIP despite 10 starts logged—probable data pipeline issue masking true performance. Alcantara's 0.00 ERA across 7.0 IP in 10 starts is arithmetically impossible (likely placeholder). Model leaning MIA 57.5% vs market 50.9% on unverifiable pitcher inputs. Cannot assess ace matchup or total without valid SP data.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-106 / -112MIL / MIA moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -111
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total