MLB / mlb / live
SDP 5 / LAD 1SDPSan Diego Padres46%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers54%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterRobbie RayConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
LADHome starterYoshinobu YamamotoConfirmed
SDP46%ML +185
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
LAD54%ML -225
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.6
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Robbie RaySDP starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -128 fanduel / U +114 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.574%under
O 3.555%under
O 4.536%under
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD starter / home
Projected K6.5Actual 4 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -104 fanduel / U -108 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 6.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.576%under
O 5.562%under
O 6.547%under
O 7.533%under
O 8.522%under
O 9.514%under
O 10.58%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+185 / -225SDP / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-108)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -112 / U -108
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total