MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSDPSan Diego Padres46%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers54%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterRobbie RayProbable
Model pickLAD moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
LADHome starterYoshinobu YamamotoProbable
SDP46%ML +180
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability66%Selected moneyline pick
LAD54%ML -220
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.7
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Robbie RaySDP starter / away
Projected K3.9
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.574%
O 3.555%
O 4.536%
O 5.521%
O 6.511%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD starter / home
Projected K6.5
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.595%
O 3.588%
O 4.576%
O 5.562%
O 6.547%
O 7.533%
O 8.522%
O 9.514%
O 10.58%
O 11.54%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+180 / -220SDP / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -113 / U -107
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total