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SFG 4 / LAD 10
SFGSan Francisco Giants29%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers71%

at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
SFGAway starterYunior MarteConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline71%Model 20260914_auto
LADHome starterTarik SkubalConfirmed
SFG29%ML +320
Base model probability71%Moneyline only
LAD71%ML -417

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#1
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-timeN/A

LAD at 94-60 with 5.6 RPG and Skubal (2.70 ERA, 10.62 K/9, 0.95 WHIP) behind them is a defensible side against a 64-90 SFG club. But the Giants starter is TBD/fallback (3 GS, 1.50 WHIP) and there is no market to anchor to, so no strong call and no total view.

pitcher data fallbackmarket data missing

Projection Context

Projected margin1.6
Projected total8.3
Market total7.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Updated
Market
Lines
Yunior MarteSFG starter / awayThin data
Projected K3.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%
O 2.559%
O 3.537%
O 4.520%
O 5.510%
O 6.54%
O 7.52%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%

Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.

Tarik SkubalLAD starter / home
Projected K6.8
Best price at 7.57.5O +106 draftkings / U -130 fanatics5 books at this line
Model over 7.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.596%
O 3.589%
O 4.579%
O 5.566%
O 6.551%
O 7.537%
O 8.525%
O 9.516%
O 10.510%
O 11.55%

Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+320 / -417SFG / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total