MLB / mlb / live
MIL 1 / LAD 3MILMilwaukee Brewers47%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers53%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterRobert GasserProbable
Model pickLAD moneyline53%Model 20260810_auto
LADHome starterYoshinobu YamamotoProbable
MIL47%ML +156
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
LAD53%ML -182
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Robert GasserMIL starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +110 bovada / U -128 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.539%over
O 5.523%over
O 6.513%over
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD starter / home
Projected K5.6Actual 9 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -114 draftkings / U +100 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 6.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.579%over
O 4.564%over
O 5.548%over
O 6.533%over
O 7.521%over
O 8.512%over
O 9.57%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+156 / -182MIL / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -112 / U -108
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total