MLB / mlb / live
MIL 5 / LAD 4MILMilwaukee Brewers47%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers53%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterShane DrohanProbable
Model pickLAD moneyline53%Model 20260810_auto
LADHome starterRoki SasakiProbable
MIL47%ML +124
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
LAD53%ML -145
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Shane DrohanMIL starter / away
Projected K4.7Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -109 betrivers / U -105 bovada7 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%over
O 5.533%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Roki SasakiLAD starter / home
Projected K5.6Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -140 fanduel / U +125 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 5.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%under
O 3.580%under
O 4.565%under
O 5.548%under
O 6.533%under
O 7.521%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+124 / -145MIL / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total