MLB / mlb / live
SEA 2 / LAD 4SEASeattle Mariners50%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers50%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterEmerson HancockConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline50%Model 20260727_auto
LADHome starterEric LauerConfirmed
SEA50%ML +153
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
LAD50%ML -185
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.7
Market total9.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Emerson HancockSEA starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betonlineag / U -135 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.531%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.570%over
O 3.549%over
O 4.531%over
O 5.517%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Eric LauerLAD starter / home
Projected K4.1Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +136 fanduel / U -159 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 4.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%under
O 5.523%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+153 / -185SEA / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+108)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -114 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total