MLB / mlb / live
TBR 4 / LAD 5TBRTampa Bay Rays46%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers54%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterShane McClanahanConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline54%Model 20260616_auto
LADHome starterShohei OhtaniConfirmed
TBR46%ML +134
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
LAD54%ML -160
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.9
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Shane McClanahanTBR starter / away
Projected K4.7Actual 3 K
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%under
O 4.550%under
O 5.534%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Shohei OhtaniLAD starter / home
Projected K5.9Actual 5 K
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.583%over
O 4.569%over
O 5.554%under
O 6.538%under
O 7.525%under
O 8.516%under
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+134 / -160TBR / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+137)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -120 / U +100
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total