MLB / mlb / live
LAA 13 / LAD 5LAALos Angeles Angels40%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers60%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterJosé Soriano
Model pickLAD moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
LADHome starterEmmet Sheehan
LAA40%ML +210
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability69%Selected moneyline pick
LAD60%ML -254
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#8
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap8.8 pts
Sheehan's 10.8 ERA across 3.1 IP is extreme small sample noise; Soriano's 0.0 ERA in 6.0 IP equally unreliable. Market is 11pp more confident in LAD than model (65% vs 60%). Missing park factor removes key total context. No structural comparison visible; defer to market with no action.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+210 / -254LAA / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
31 books30 ML22 run line21 total