MLB / mlb / live
LAA 0 / LAD 1LAALos Angeles Angels57%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers43%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterReid Detmers
Model pickLAA moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
LADHome starterRoki Sasaki
LAA57%ML +164
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
LAD43%ML -200
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#2
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time17.3 pts
Model picks LAA at 53% but market has LAD at 64% implied (-190). Away pitcher is TBD/fallback with 1.2 IP sample — unknowable matchup quality. LAD's 40-23 record and home comparison justify market line. Disagree with model, side with LAD but total is unreadable without knowing LAA starter.
pitcher data fallbackLarge model-market gap
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+164 / -200LAA / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
32 books30 ML23 run line21 total