MLB / mlb / live
LAA 0 / LAD 1LAALos Angeles Angels57%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers43%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterReid Detmers
Model pickLAA moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
LADHome starterRoki Sasaki
LAA57%ML +164
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability36%Selected moneyline pick
LAD43%ML -200
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#2
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap21.2 pts
Model picks LAA at 53% but market has LAD at 64% implied (-190). Away pitcher is TBD/fallback with 1.2 IP sample — unknowable matchup quality. LAD's 40-23 record and home comparison justify market line. Disagree with model, side with LAD but total is unreadable without knowing LAA starter.
pitcher data fallbackLarge model-market gap
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+164 / -200LAA / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
32 books30 ML23 run line21 total