MLB / mlb / live
PHI 1 / LAD 9PHIPhiladelphia Phillies40%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers60%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterAndrew Painter
Model pickLAD moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
LADHome starterYoshinobu Yamamoto
PHI40%ML +199
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability68%Selected moneyline pick
LAD60%ML -244
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#12
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap7.7 pts
Away pitcher Andrew Painter has null stats across all core metrics (IP, ERA, K/9, WHIP) despite data_quality='full'. This is a data integrity issue making any analysis unreliable. Home pitcher Yamamoto shows only 6.0 IP over 10 starts, averaging 0.6 IP/start, which is implausible. Cannot pick without valid pitcher data.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+199 / -244PHI / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -107 / U -114
30 books29 ML22 run line21 total