MLB / mlb / live
PHI 1 / LAD 9PHIPhiladelphia Phillies40%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers60%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterAndrew Painter
Model pickLAD moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
LADHome starterYoshinobu Yamamoto
PHI40%ML +199
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
LAD60%ML -244
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#12
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time6.2 pts
Away pitcher Andrew Painter has null stats across all core metrics (IP, ERA, K/9, WHIP) despite data_quality='full'. This is a data integrity issue making any analysis unreliable. Home pitcher Yamamoto shows only 6.0 IP over 10 starts, averaging 0.6 IP/start, which is implausible. Cannot pick without valid pitcher data.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+199 / -244PHI / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -107 / U -114
30 books29 ML22 run line21 total