MLB / mlb / live
SFG 0 / LAD 4SFGSan Francisco Giants36%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers64%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterRobbie Ray
Model pickLAD moneyline64%Model 20260414_1
LADHome starterShohei Ohtani
SFG36%ML +200
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability68%Selected moneyline pick
LAD64%ML -245
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#9
Total leanOver
Model-market gap4.0 pts
Ohtani's pitcher stats are completely null (IP, ERA, K/9, WHIP all missing) despite 10 starts logged—data quality failure makes his side unreadable. Model predicts 8.66 runs vs market 7.5; with LAD offense at .743 OPS and Ray's modest 6.75 K/9, lean over on total. Side pick impossible without Ohtani's actual performance data.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.4
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+200 / -245SFG / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-113)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U -1
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total