MLB / mlb / live
PHI 4 / LAA 2PHIPhiladelphia Phillies51%
LAALos Angeles Angels49%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterCristopher SánchezProbable
Model pickPHI moneyline51%Model 20260824_auto
LAAHome starterRyan JohnsonProbable
PHI51%ML -235
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
LAA49%ML +196
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Cristopher SánchezPHI starter / away
Projected K7.0Actual 8 K / Over 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O -103 betonlineag / U -110 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 7.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.596%over
O 3.591%over
O 4.581%over
O 5.569%over
O 6.555%over
O 7.540%over
O 8.528%under
O 9.518%under
O 10.511%under
O 11.57%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +100 fanatics / U -120 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 3.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.578%under
O 3.560%under
O 4.542%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-235 / +196PHI / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -106 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total