MLB / mlb / live
KCR 3 / LAA 0KCRKansas City Royals58%
LAALos Angeles Angels42%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterNoah CameronConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline58%Model 20260810_auto
LAAHome starterRyan JohnsonConfirmed
KCR58%ML -122
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
LAA42%ML +104
Projection Context
Projected margin1.4
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Noah CameronKCR starter / away
Projected K5.5Actual 8 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +120 fanduel / U -125 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 6.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.579%over
O 4.564%over
O 5.547%over
O 6.532%over
O 7.520%over
O 8.512%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -154 betonlineag / U +129 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.561%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.543%under
O 5.527%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-122 / +104KCR / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -114
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total