MLB / mlb / live
KCR 7 / LAA 6KCRKansas City Royals53%
LAALos Angeles Angels47%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterSeth LugoConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline53%Model 20260810_auto
LAAHome starterGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
KCR53%ML -110
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
LAA47%ML -108
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Seth LugoKCR starter / away
Projected K4.7Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -130 bovada / U +110 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%under
O 5.533%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Grayson RodriguezLAA starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +135 betmgm / U -164 fanduel3 books at this line
Model over 5.531%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.548%over
O 5.531%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-110 / -108KCR / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-175)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total