MLB / mlb / live
TEX 0 / LAA 7TEXTexas Rangers55%
LAALos Angeles Angels45%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterJacob deGromProbable
Model pickTEX moneyline55%Model 20260810_auto
LAAHome starterWalbert UreñaProbable
TEX55%ML -148
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
LAA45%ML +125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.0
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jacob deGromTEX starter / away
Projected K6.8Actual 3 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -125 fanduel / U +110 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 6.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.596%over
O 3.589%under
O 4.579%under
O 5.566%under
O 6.551%under
O 7.537%under
O 8.525%under
O 9.516%under
O 10.510%under
O 11.55%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Walbert UrenaLAA starter / home
Projected K5.7Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -165 betrivers / U +135 betonlineag4 books at this line
Model over 4.565%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.565%over
O 5.549%under
O 6.534%under
O 7.522%under
O 8.513%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-148 / +125TEX / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -118 / U -110
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total