MLB / mlb / live
TEX 2 / LAA 3TEXTexas Rangers55%
LAALos Angeles Angels45%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterCody BradfordConfirmed
Model pickTEX moneyline55%Model 20260810_auto
LAAHome starterRyan JohnsonConfirmed
TEX55%ML -150
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
LAA45%ML +128
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Cody BradfordTEX starter / away
Projected K5.0Actual 1 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +134 fanduel / U -157 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 5.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%under
O 2.586%under
O 3.572%under
O 4.555%under
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +130 bovada / U -155 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.564%over
O 4.545%over
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-150 / +128TEX / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -114
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total