MLB / mlb / live
STL 1 / LAA 0STLSt. Louis Cardinals45%
LAALos Angeles Angels55%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterHunter DobbinsConfirmed
Model pickLAA moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
LAAHome starterReid DetmersConfirmed
STL45%ML +121
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
LAA55%ML -143
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Hunter DobbinsSTL starter / away
Projected K3.6Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +115 fanatics / U -131 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.529%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.569%over
O 3.548%over
O 4.529%over
O 5.516%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Reid DetmersLAA starter / home
Projected K5.9Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -136 betrivers / U +120 betmgm4 books at this line
Model over 5.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.583%over
O 4.569%over
O 5.554%over
O 6.538%under
O 7.525%under
O 8.516%under
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+121 / -143STL / LAA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -119 / U -101
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total