MLB / mlb / live
DET 2 / LAA 3DETDetroit Tigers58%
LAALos Angeles Angels42%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterCasey MizeConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline58%Model 20260713_auto
LAAHome starterRyan JohnsonConfirmed
DET58%ML -147
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
LAA42%ML +122
Projection Context
Projected margin1.4
Projected total9.3
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Casey MizeDET starter / away
Projected K5.8Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -115 betmgm / U +110 betrivers4 books at this line
Model over 5.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.581%over
O 4.567%over
O 5.551%under
O 6.536%under
O 7.523%under
O 8.514%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -118 fanduel / U +100 betrivers5 books at this line
Model over 4.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%over
O 5.534%under
O 6.521%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-147 / +122DET / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O +100 / U -120
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total