MLB / mlb / live
BOS 5 / LAA 2BOSBoston Red Sox47%
LAALos Angeles Angels53%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterJake BennettConfirmed
Model pickLAA moneyline53%Model 20260629_auto
LAAHome starterReid DetmersConfirmed
BOS47%ML -104
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
LAA53%ML -115
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jake BennettBOS starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -164 draftkings / U +135 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%over
O 5.532%over
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Reid DetmersLAA starter / home
Projected K6.5Actual 5 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -148 fanduel / U +125 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 6.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.587%over
O 4.576%over
O 5.562%under
O 6.547%under
O 7.533%under
O 8.522%under
O 9.513%under
O 10.58%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-104 / -115BOS / LAA moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total