MLB / mlb / live
HOU 5 / LAA 4HOUHouston Astros54%
LAALos Angeles Angels46%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterSpencer Arrighetti
Model pickHOU moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
LAAHome starterGrayson Rodriguez
HOU54%ML -130
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
LAA46%ML +110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-130 / +110HOU / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -120 / U -103
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total