MLB / mlb / live
NYM 4 / LAA 3NYMNew York Mets47%
LAALos Angeles Angels53%
at Angel Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterChristian Scott
Model pickLAA moneyline53%Model 20260414_1
LAAHome starterWalbert Ureña
NYM47%ML -125
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability47%Selected moneyline pick
LAA53%ML +105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#13
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap6.7 pts
Urena has 1.2 IP across 2 starts—effectively no data. Scott is on fallback stats with 5.0 IP and 7.20 ERA over 10 starts, which is implausible and signals incomplete data. Both pitcher inputs are unreliable. Market and model disagree (model 53% LAA, market 46%), but I cannot evaluate the gap without trustworthy pitcher context. Pass.
pitcher data fallback
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-125 / +105NYM / LAA moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-153)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total