Back to board

MLB / mlb / live

TOR 9 / KCR 2
TORToronto Blue Jays50%
KCRKansas City Royals50%

at Kauffman Stadium

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
TORAway starterJameson TaillonConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline50%Model 20260831_auto
KCRHome starterDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed
TOR50%ML +100
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
KCR50%ML -118

Projection Context

Projected margin0.1
Projected total10.0
Market total10.0
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Jameson TaillonTOR starter / away
Projected K3.1Actual 1 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -128 fanduel / U +106 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 2.559%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%under
O 2.559%under
O 3.537%under
O 4.520%under
O 5.510%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.

Daniel Lynch IVKCR starter / home
Projected K2.8Actual 0 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O +112 fanduel / U -124 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 2.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.576%under
O 2.552%under
O 3.531%under
O 4.516%under
O 5.57%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+100 / -118TOR / KCR moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+123)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -106 / U -114
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total