MLB / mlb / live
MIA 6 / KCR 3MIAMiami Marlins45%
KCRKansas City Royals55%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterTyler PhillipsConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline55%Model 20260831_auto
KCRHome starterRandy DobnakConfirmed
MIA45%ML -103
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
KCR55%ML -115
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.7
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tyler PhillipsMIA starter / away
Projected K3.5Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +107 draftkings / U -135 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 3.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.566%over
O 3.545%over
O 4.527%under
O 5.514%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Randy DobnakKCR starter / home
Projected K3.9Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +100 fanatics / U -108 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 3.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.554%over
O 4.535%over
O 5.520%over
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-103 / -115MIA / KCR moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+123)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -118 / U -102
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total