MLB / mlb / live
DET 1 / KCR 3DETDetroit Tigers46%
KCRKansas City Royals54%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterDrew AndersonConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline54%Model 20260817_auto
KCRHome starterMichael WachaConfirmed
DET46%ML -108
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
KCR54%ML -110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Drew AndersonDET starter / away
Projected K3.2Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +135 betmgm / U -154 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.523%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.582%over
O 2.562%over
O 3.540%over
O 4.523%under
O 5.511%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Michael WachaKCR starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 draftkings / U -155 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.548%over
O 5.531%over
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-108 / -110DET / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-180)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -104 / U -116
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total