MLB / mlb / live
OAK 3 / KCR 4OAKOakland Athletics46%
KCRKansas City Royals54%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterBrady BassoConfirmed
Model pickKCR moneyline54%Model 20260817_auto
KCRHome starterDaniel Lynch IVConfirmed
OAK46%ML +138
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
KCR54%ML -161
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Brady BassoOAK starter / away
Projected K2.5Actual 1 K
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.571%under
O 2.546%under
O 3.525%under
O 4.512%under
O 5.55%under
O 6.52%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Daniel Lynch IVKCR starter / home
Projected K3.3Actual 1 K
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%under
O 2.564%under
O 3.542%under
O 4.525%under
O 5.513%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+138 / -161OAK / KCR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+128)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total