MLB / mlb / live
MIN 2 / KCR 8MINMinnesota Twins52%
KCRKansas City Royals48%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterJoe RyanConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline52%Model 20260803_auto
KCRHome starterRandy DobnakConfirmed
MIN52%ML -150
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
KCR48%ML +125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Joe RyanMIN starter / away
Projected K5.3Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -118 draftkings / U +100 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 5.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.576%under
O 4.560%under
O 5.543%under
O 6.528%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Randy DobnakKCR starter / home
Projected K3.5Actual 1 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -130 bovada / U +102 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 2.567%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%under
O 2.567%under
O 3.545%under
O 4.527%under
O 5.514%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-150 / +125MIN / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -117 / U -104
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total