MLB / mlb / live
TEX 6 / KCR 4TEXTexas Rangers52%
KCRKansas City Royals48%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterMacKenzie Gore
Model pickTEX moneyline52%Model 20260414_1
KCRHome starterSeth Lugo
TEX52%ML -116
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability52%Selected moneyline pick
KCR48%ML -102
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.1
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-116 / -102TEX / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total