MLB / mlb / live
SEA 6 / KCR 8SEASeattle Mariners59%
KCRKansas City Royals41%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterBryan Woo
Model pickSEA moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
KCRHome starterSeth Lugo
SEA59%ML -125
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
KCR41%ML +105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total9.1
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-125 / +105SEA / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total