MLB / mlb / live
BOS 3 / KCR 1BOSBoston Red Sox42%
KCRKansas City Royals58%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterSonny Gray
Model pickKCR moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
KCRHome starterSeth Lugo
BOS42%ML -112
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability49%Selected moneyline pick
KCR58%ML -105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-112 / -105BOS / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -119 / U -103
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total