MLB / mlb / live
BAL 7 / KCR 5BALBaltimore Orioles57%
KCRKansas City Royals43%
at Kauffman Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterKyle Bradish
Model pickBAL moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
KCRHome starterSeth Lugo
BAL57%ML -118
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability52%Selected moneyline pick
KCR43%ML +100
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.3
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-118 / +100BAL / KCR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -107 / U -114
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total