MLB / mlb / live
scheduledATLAtlanta Braves38%
HOUHouston Astros62%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterMartín PérezProbable
Model pickHOU moneyline62%Model 20260914_auto
HOUHome starterHunter BrownProbable
ATL38%ML +118
Base model probability62%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
HOU62%ML -142
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total8.4
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Martín PérezATL starter / away
Projected K4.0
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.575%
O 3.556%
O 4.537%
O 5.522%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+118 / -142ATL / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+148)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -113 / U -107
31 books30 ML23 run line23 total