MLB / mlb / live
CHW 0 / HOU 2CHWChicago White Sox47%
HOUHouston Astros53%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterDavis MartinConfirmed
Model pickHOU moneyline53%Model 20260831_auto
HOUHome starterHayden WesneskiConfirmed
CHW47%ML +120
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
HOU53%ML -141
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Davis MartinCHW starter / away
Projected K2.8Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +110 betonlineag / U -125 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 3.531%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.576%over
O 2.553%over
O 3.531%under
O 4.516%under
O 5.57%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Hayden WesneskiHOU starter / home
Projected K5.3Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -148 draftkings / U +125 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 4.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.576%over
O 4.560%over
O 5.543%under
O 6.529%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+120 / -141CHW / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -108
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total