MLB / mlb / live
OAK 4 / HOU 3OAKOakland Athletics46%
HOUHouston Astros54%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJacob LopezConfirmed
Model pickHOU moneyline54%Model 20260817_auto
HOUHome starterHunter BrownConfirmed
OAK46%ML +200
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
HOU54%ML -238
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jacob LopezOAK starter / away
Projected K4.8Actual 9 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -110 betmgm / U +105 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%over
O 4.552%over
O 5.536%over
O 6.522%over
O 7.513%over
O 8.57%over
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Hunter BrownHOU starter / home
Projected K5.7Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -135 bovada / U +124 draftkings3 books at this line
Model over 5.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.566%under
O 5.550%under
O 6.535%under
O 7.522%under
O 8.513%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+200 / -238OAK / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -106 / U -114
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total