MLB / mlb / live
LAA 3 / HOU 1LAALos Angeles Angels44%
HOUHouston Astros56%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterGeorge KlassenConfirmed
Model pickHOU moneyline56%Model 20260817_auto
HOUHome starterCristian JavierConfirmed
LAA44%ML +144
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
HOU56%ML -167
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
George KlassenLAA starter / away
Projected K4.0Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betrivers / U -154 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 4.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%over
O 5.522%over
O 6.512%over
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Cristian JavierHOU starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -109 betonlineag / U -111 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%over
O 3.559%over
O 4.540%over
O 5.524%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+144 / -167LAA / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+118)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -118 / U -104
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total