MLB / mlb / live
MIA 3 / HOU 5MIAMiami Marlins48%
HOUHouston Astros52%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterTyler PhillipsConfirmed
Model pickHOU moneyline52%Model 20260720_auto
HOUHome starterTatsuya ImaiConfirmed
MIA48%ML +105
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
HOU52%ML -125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tyler PhillipsMIA starter / away
Projected K3.4Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +110 draftkings / U -130 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 3.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%over
O 2.565%under
O 3.544%under
O 4.526%under
O 5.513%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Tatsuya ImaiHOU starter / home
Projected K5.1Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +120 betrivers / U -139 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%over
O 4.556%over
O 5.539%over
O 6.525%over
O 7.515%over
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -125MIA / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+159)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O +100 / U -119
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total