MLB / mlb / live
MIA 5 / HOU 8MIAMiami Marlins49%
HOUHouston Astros51%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterJanson JunkConfirmed
Model pickHOU moneyline51%Model 20260720_auto
HOUHome starterRonel BlancoConfirmed
MIA49%ML +105
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
HOU51%ML -125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Janson JunkMIA starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -103 betrivers / U +110 bovada7 books at this line
Model over 3.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.554%under
O 4.535%under
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Ronel BlancoHOU starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 8 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -159 betonlineag / U +128 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 3.570%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%over
O 4.553%over
O 5.536%over
O 6.522%over
O 7.513%over
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -125MIA / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+162)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -118
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total