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MIN 8 / HOU 3
MINMinnesota Twins44%
HOUHouston Astros56%

at Daikin Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
MINAway starterTaj BradleyConfirmed
Model pickHOU moneyline56%Model 20260629_auto
HOUHome starterTatsuya ImaiConfirmed
MIN44%ML +129
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
HOU56%ML -150

Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.

Projection Context

Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Taj BradleyMIN starter / away
Projected K5.5Actual 11 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -131 draftkings / U +112 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 5.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%over
O 4.563%over
O 5.547%over
O 6.532%over
O 7.520%over
O 8.511%over
O 9.56%over
O 10.53%over
O 11.51%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 11 strikeouts.

Tatsuya ImaiHOU starter / home
Projected K5.7Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -143 betrivers / U +120 fanduel4 books at this line
Model over 5.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.592%under
O 3.581%under
O 4.567%under
O 5.550%under
O 6.535%under
O 7.523%under
O 8.514%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context

Market consensus+129 / -150MIN / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML22 run line22 total