MLB / mlb / live
NYY 4 / HOU 7NYYNew York Yankees55%
HOUHouston Astros45%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterLuis Gil
Model pickNYY moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
HOUHome starterSpencer Arrighetti
NYY55%ML -139
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
HOU45%ML +116
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-139 / +116NYY / HOU moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-134)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -115 / U -105
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total